Using a quantitative analysis of CEP polls from 2000 to 20012, this article studies the determinants of presidential approval in Chile. It also seeks to contribute to the research agenda relating to the impact of presidential approval on decision-making and the configuration of political cycles. To do so, we analyze cabinet shuffles as possible responses to the publication of presidential approval levels. Amongst the possible findings of the econometric analysis is that the probability and influence of presidential approval are not constant in time, but depend on the president of the day. At the same time, there is no clear relationship between the publication of CEP poll results and strategic decision-making within the executive regarding cabinet configuration.
Keywords:
Presidential approval, cabinets, political cycles, decision-making
Ramírez R., J., & Varas V., P. (2013). Presidential Approval in Chile, 2000-2012: Determinants and effects on decision-making. Política. Revista De Ciencia Política, 51(1), pp. 85–117. https://doi.org/10.5354/0719-5338.2013.27435
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